What is going on with the MLB in 2019?!?! The Rays are 9-3 leading the AL East (they have the lowest payroll in 2019) and the Red Sox (defending WS champions) are on the bottom at 3-9. The Mariners are supposed to be rebuilding in 2019 but are 13-2 and have hit the most Home Runs by any team in the first 12 games of the season: 32. And they now own the MLB record for opening a season with 15 straight games with a homer. The Dodgers tried to match them when they opened the season with at least one home run in their first 10 games. And Khris Davis already has 9 homers. I don’t think we have to worry about a home run drought in 2019.
Here are things I have found interesting since the beginning of the season:
- The Independent Atlantic League is trying out new rules for the MLB. Things like, Robo Umps for the strike zone, No Mound Visits, 3-batter minimum (coming to MLB in 2020), banning the shift, and moving the pitching mound 2 feet backwards.
- How Bryce Harper ended up in Philadelphia. The inside story to Harper’s free-agency is fascinating. The fact that he was offered a contract that would have had its last payment in 2072 is unbelievable.
- Chris Davis has gone 61 plate appearances without a hit. That is a major league record. He has also averaged 1 HR per 15 at-bats since 2012. That gives him a top-5 spot for most home runs since that time. And he’s getting paid $92 million over the next 4 years. Just as crazy is Trevor Rosenthal opening the season with an Infinite ERA over 4 appearances which is also an MLB record. Many thought the world would end if Rosenthal ever faced Chris Davis.
- The Yankees have an $87 Million Injured List. To make the Yankees start of the season worse, they have over $87 Million being paid in 2019 salaries sitting on the IL. That’s more than 4 MLB teams opening day total team salaries… The Pirates, Orioles, Marlins, and Rays
- A Wisconsin Distillery unveiled a tribute to the Cubs. That may just make me a bourbon drinker.
- Speaking of the Cubs, Baez somehow hit a ball that bounced without his hands on the bat…
- And if you missed Marcell Ozuna’s spiderman like skills, check out the clip below of him showing them off a bit too early. Seriously, that clip might be the funniest thing since Jose Canseco taking a ball off the head and it bouncing over the fence for a home run.
Now, moving on to our regularly scheduled programming: Who Chose Who in this year’s Home Run Derby!
Group A
The only surprise from this group is how evenly spread out the choices were. I mean, there were only 4 players to get selected by non-double digit numbers. And they were low totals (1 or 2 people). That tells me that there is no real favorite this year unlike years past where 50+ teams would choose Albert Pujols. Then it was Jose Bautista. But there was no obvious choice and it’s too bad that the man mad of glass, Giancarlo, is already injured. I didn’t think he would play all season, but I didn’t expect him to go down within a week of the season starting. And now Trout is out with a groin strain for an unknown period of time. That’s 48 teams without an A-player for a while. Of the Group A players selected, there are 2 with goose eggs still. No surprise that one is Gaincarlo, but the other is newly paid Arenado. I thought the air was thin in Denver, but the ball hasn’t been flying out for him this year. There is plenty of time, so don’t freak out… yet.
Group A | |
---|---|
Player | Selected |
Giancarlo Stanton | 26 |
Mike Trout | 22 |
Khris Davis | 19 |
Aaron Judge/JD Martinez | 13 |
Nolan Arenado | 12 |
Nelson Cruz/Joey Gallo | 2 |
Rhys Hoskins/Max Muncy | 1 |
Josh Donaldson/Edwin Encarnacion | 0 |
Group B
The next couple groups are where things get weird. For the first time that I can remember, group B has 3 players selected in double digits. And there are 7 out of 18 players that got 0 selections (Bruce, C. Davis, Dozier, Duvall, Frazier, Lindor, Sano). And one of them, Jay Bruce has the most homers in the group at 7 (tied with Bellinger). Harper is the clear favorite with the group. I just don’t think he stays healthy and he has only hit more than 30 homers twice. Goldy is proving to be a nice bounce back candidate with 6 homers already. It will be interesting to see if the year is won or lost with group B. The 6 teams with Bellinger could all finish in the top 10 if the 3 popular choices don’t perform.
Group B | |
---|---|
Player | Selected |
Bryce Harper | 37 |
Paul Goldschmidt | 20 |
Trevor Story | 19 |
Jose Ramirez | 7 |
Manny Machado/Cody Bellinger/Jesus Aguilar | 6 |
Travis Shaw | 4 |
Kyle Schwarber | 3 |
Justin Upton | 2 |
Matt Olson | 1 |
Group C
Another group oddity where over half of the managers chose 1 of 4 players out of 34 selections. The reigning NL MVP was the most popular choice, but even being a Brewer fan, I don’t believe he hits 30 HR this year. I hope he proves me wrong and the Brewers make the playoffs again, but his August and September in 2018 were unreal. He had me questioning the Group C position after homering in the first 4 Brewer games, but he has been quiet from the home run side of things since then. Blackmon is another Colorado hitter yet to hit a homer and he is one of the 4 popular choices. Group C tends to be the selection that a player breaks out and carries 1-2 teams to the top of the standings. Unfortunately, it won’t be due to the current leader of group C, Gary Sanchez, who has 6 homers (thanks to 3 in 1 game) since no manager selected him.
Group C | |
---|---|
Player | Selected |
Christian Yelich | 23 |
Mookie Betts | 18 |
Kris Bryant | 13 |
Charlie Blackmon | 11 |
Mike Moustakas | 9 |
Ronald Acuna | 8 |
Eugenio Suarez | 6 |
Anthony Rizzo/Jose Abreu | 4 |
Javier Baez | 3 |
Freddie Freeman/Randal Grichuk/ Juan Soto/Joey Votto |
2 |
Michael Conforto/Hunter Renfroe/ Domingo Santana/George Springer |
1 |
Group D
And again, a group where half of the managers chose 1 of 3 players out of 35 choices. Alex Bregman got paid this off-season, but he is sitting on a single homer for 29 managers. Matt Carpenter turned around an AWFUL April/May of 2018 to dominate the rest of the 2018 season. He’s starting slow again in 2019, so maybe there will be a bit of Deja-Vu. Yasiel Puig is on a new team (and already suspended for fighting) but has yet to hit a home run. Mitch Moreland leads the group with 5 homers but got 0 selections. The 2nd best in Group D is a veteran: Adam Jones. He got signed about 3 weeks before the season started. Now he is raking for the D-Backs with 4 homers in 48 ABs. Of the 35 choices, 14 had 0 selections. Not surprising due to most of them being injured or unsigned. I just never know in January who will be signed, on a starting lineup, or on the injured list. So some groups end up with fewer ‘available’ choices once the season begins.
Group D | |
---|---|
Player | Selected |
Alex Bregman | 27 |
Matt Carpenter | 19 |
Yasiel Puig | 13 |
Marcell Ozuna | 7 |
CJ Cron/Paul Dejong | 5 |
Miguel Cabrera/Adam Jones | 4 |
Matt Adams/Ryan Braun/Robinson Cano/ Carlos Correa/Rougned Odor/Carlos Santana |
3 |
Matt Davidson/Gleyber Torres | 2 |
Rafael Devers/Maikel Franco/ Ryon Healy/Albert Pujols/Ryan Zimmerman |
1 |
Group E
My favorite group! I love group E. A player will come out of nowhere and outperform everyone but maybe a Group A player. One year it was Jose Bautista. Another year it was Trevor Story. Last year it was Christian Yelich and Matt Carpenter at 36HR (Aguilar had 35HR in Group E last year). So who will it be in 2019?! It’s rarely ever a write-in. Which isn’t good news for 17 teams that chose to go off the available list. This year there were more ‘common’ write-ins than in years past. What I mean is that multiple write-ins had 4 managers write them in: David Dahl, Franmil Reyes, and Eloy Jimenez. One very interesting write-in was Luke Voit from the Yankees. He already has 4 homers which is 2nd most only behind Trey Mancini who has 6 (yes, 2 managers chose Mancini!). Only one player had double digit selections. Eddie Rosario who was a breakout player in 2018 got 12 selections. Even more remarkable is that there were only 11 out of 46 players who received 0 selections. That’s fewer than Group D with even more players to choose from. I can’t wait until Group E is won by someone not currently on the list, because it usually ends up that way.
Group E | |
---|---|
Player | Selected |
Eddie Rosario | 12 |
Miguel Andujar/Matt Chapman | 9 |
Daniel Murphy | 7 |
Andrew McCutchen | 6 |
Yasmani Grandal | 5 |
Teoscar Hernandez/Stephen Piscotty/ David Dahl/Franmil Reyes/Eloy Jimenez |
4 |
Nick Castellanos/Enrique Hernandez/Evan Longoria/ David Peralta/Anthony Rendon/Justin Turner |
3 |
Willson Contreras/Aaron Hicks/ Trey Mancini/Scott Schebler/Corey Seager |
2 |
Josh Bell/Asdrubal Cabrera/Eduardo Escobar/ Scooter Gennett/Alex Gordon/Mitch Haniger/ Nomar Mazara/Troy Tulowitzki/Max Kepler/ Luke Voit/Ryan McMahon/DJ LeMahieu |
1 |
So, there you have it. The 2019 selection statistics. There were 0 duplicate team selections this year which isn’t unusual, but I do find it surprising with how many ‘common’ choices were chosen in 4 of the groups. I thought there would be at least 1 duplicate team.
Finally, just keep an eye on the Injured List at the bottom of the standings. If your player hits 21 consecutive days without a plate appearance, just send me an email if you would like to use your 1-time trade for the 2019 season. I try to remind teams, but I don’t always get out in front of the trade availability date.
Good Luck!